Publikationen

Pre-term elections produced a fragmented parliament, unable to overcome the political crisis. The intra-party conflict in MRF becomes a major factor of tension in Bulgarian politics. There is a growing risk that the spiral of pre-term elections will continue.

The Bulgarian commitment to the cause of Ukraine in the war with Russia is increasing. The election campaign is going against the backdrop of revenge of the “status quo” against the “change”. A government with a leading role of GERB is the most likely alternative to more early elections.

The caretaker cabinet began work without clear political support and without its own authority. The election campaign was dominated by a powerful campaign to discredit the second political force PP-DB. The country’s leading political configuration is formed of the informal alliance between GERB and MRF.

Bulgaria faces early elections without a dominant dividing line in the political space. The risk of political chaos posed by the unclear constitutional framework has not yet been overcome. Public opinion is divided between everyday problems

and national fears.

Government rotation is turning out to be a complex process that will probably defy expectations of ease and speed. GERB hold the political initiative for the first time in 3 years. The opposition parties do not show the capacity to offer an alternative to the government crisis.

Preparations for a government rotation began with complex negotiations for a “package deal” between the ruling parties. The political debate is subordinated to the powerful political attack by MRF politician Delyan Peevski against President Rumen Radev. Suggestions for the non-alternativeness of the government majority fuelled expectations for new political projects.